Hits and misses from the fourth month of the season
v30 Club Member Adds
No members were added in July. Jeimer Candelario and Matt Chapman have joined in the first week of August.
Induction Opportunity Calendar
Likelihood Scores for Possible Inductees
78.3 – Juan Soto vs Rangers (6 games)
71.5 – Corey Seager vs Yankees (6 games)
60.7 – Shohei Ohtani vs Cardinals
49.8 – Bryce Harper vs Astros
36.8 – Paul Goldschmidt vs Twins
35.7 – Gary Sanchez vs Cardinals (6 games)
25.6 – Nolan Arenado vs Guardians
23.8 – Adam Duvall vs Angels
1.0 – Javier Báez vs Cubs and Rays
1.0 – Rowdy Tellez vs Mariners, Rangers, and Royals
0.6 – Anthony Rendon vs Nationals
Notable v30 Club Misses
Several players failed to capitalize on opportunities to join or stay alive in July. Despite a historic losing streak, the White Sox have been fending off v30 seekers.
Josh Bell vs the White Sox, Yasmani Grandal vs the White Sox, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. vs the Blue Jays, Justin Turner vs the White Sox, Cody Bellinger vs the Orioles, Travis d’Arnaud vs the Diamondbacks, Starling Marte vs the Twins, Paul DeJong vs the White Sox, and Joey Gallo vs the Reds and Cardinals.
Daulton Varsho, Byron Buxton, and Kyle Farmer were prevented from maxing out.
Pete Alonso Number (a.k.a. Polar Bear Chase)
There are only seventeen players that have the ability to reach eighteen or more ledgers this season. Alec Burleson sits at twelve ledgers. He can reach eighteen and is most likely do so out of all eligible players. Colton Cowser and Jackson Chourio have eleven ledgers and can reach 21 and 20 ledgers respectively. Michael Busch and Zach Neto have hit ten ledgers and can reach 21 and 18 ledgers respectively. Former in-the-driver’s-seat chaser Heliot Ramos still sits at nine ledgers and can top out at nineteen.
Jordan Westburg had the second highest chance of catching Alonso until he suffered a fractured hand. He will not return in time to reach the mark.
Jackson Merrill, David Fry, Colt Keith, Andy Pages, Masyn Winn, Justyn-Henry Malloy, Wenceel Pérez, Jhonkensy Noel, Ernie Clement, and Ben Rice all can still beat or tie Alonso’s mark but are unlikely to do so.