Ledger Watch: The Second Half

There are still fifteen batters eligible to join

It’s the All-Star break! Let’s take a look at some story lines that will play out when baseball returns to action on Friday. Admittedly, July’s best action may be around the deadline with August really heating up in term of opportunities.

Club eligible players

There are ten players that are one ledger away from joining the club. They are listed with their needed opponent , first game against that opponent, and likelihood score.

  1. Nolan Arenado, Guardians, September 20, 22.3

  2. Jeimer Candelario, Giants, August 2, 39.7

  3. Matt Chapman, Nationals, August 5, 42.0

  4. Adam Duvall, Angels, August 16, 22.6

  5. Paul Goldschmidt, Twins, August 23, 33.8

  6. Bryce Harper, Astros, August 26, 49.2

  7. Anthony Rendon, Nationals, August 9, 0.6

  8. Gary Sánchez, Cardinals, August 20, 35.8

  9. Corey Seager, Yankees, August 9, 68.5

  10. Juan Soto, Rangers, August 9, 76.5

Three players are two ledgers away:

  1. Javier Báez, Cubs and Rays, 0.1

  2. Joey Gallo, Reds and Cardinals, 2.1

  3. Shohei Ohtani, Phillies and Cardinals, 36.6

And two players are three ledgers away:

  1. Starling Marte, Orioles, White Sox, and Twins, 0.8

  2. Rowdy Tellez, Royals, Mariners, Rangers. 1.1

Max Out Eligible Players

There are six players that are one ledger away from maxing out. They are listed with their needed opponent , first game against that opponent, and likelihood score.

  1. Pete Alonso, White Sox, August 30, 45.9

  2. Jose Altuve, Phillies, August 26, 35.9

  3. Matt Carpenter, Twins, August 23, 6.2

  4. Rafael Devers, Diamondbacks, August 23, 52.4

  5. Teoscar Hernández, Brewers, August 12, 55.2

  6. Aaron Judge, Cardinals, August 30, 66.2

There are three players who need two or more ledgers to max:

  1. Salvador Perez, (2) Braves and Phillies, 17.3

  2. Byron Buxton (5) Braves, Cubs, Reds, Phillies, and Cardinals, 0.1

  3. Kyle Farmer (6) Orioles, Red Sox, Reds, Tigers, Angels, and Blue Jays, 0.0

Largest White Whales

There are the top ten White Whales for players currently on a 26-man roster and game opportunities against the opponent.

  1. Nicky Lopez, 261 PA, 3 games vs Guardians, 0.8

  2. Donovan Solano, 207 PA, 3 games vs Nationals, 13.6

  3. Miguel Rojas, 194 PA, 5 games vs Padres, 14.7

  4. Steven Kwan, 163 PA, 7 games vs Royals, 49.0

  5. Isiah Kiner-Falefa, 162 PA, 7 games vs Rays, 40.0

  6. Jeremy Peña, 152 PA, 3 games vs Rangers, 19.8

  7. Christian Vazquez, 143 PA, 6 games vs Royals, 22.5

  8. Adam Frazier, 137 PA, 3 games vs Giants, 8.9

  9. Bryson Stott, 135 PA, 6 games vs Marlins, 31.5

  10. Brendan Rodgers, 131 PA, 7 games vs Giants, 35.4

Pete Alonso Score

There are 16 players that have a likelihood score greater than one-ten-thousandth of a percentage point to beat or tie Pete Alonso’s single season ledger mark of eighteen. The x / y ratio is ledgers hit to ledgers available for the remainder of the season.

  1. Heliot Ramos, 9 / 12, 0.9447

  2. Alec Burleson, 11 / 7, 0.7086

  3. Jordan Westburg, 10 / 10, 0.0878

  4. Ben Rice, 4 / 16, 0.0259

  5. Colton Cowser, 9 / 13, 0.022

  6. Jhonkensy Noel, 4 / 15, 0.0176

  7. Zach Neto, 8 / 11, 0.006

  8. Michael Busch, 8 / 14, 0.0059

  9. Jackson Chourio, 9 / 12, 0.005

  10. Jackson Merrill, 8 / 13, 0.0034

  11. Justyn-Henry Malloy, 5 / 13, 0.0006

  12. Brooks Lee, 2 / 18, 0.0005

  13. Colt Keith, 8 / 11, 0.0005

  14. Andy Pages, 8 / 15, 0.0005

  15. Nolan Schanuel, 7 / 12, 0.0002

  16. Nick Gordon, 8 / 10, 0.0001

Leave a Reply